Trump's crypto strikes are sparking hypothesis of a brand new coin as the worth on Polymarket stands at 27% odds and moral alarms mount.
abstract
- Polymarket places the likelihood that President Trump will launch a brand new tradable cryptocurrency by the tip of the yr at 27%, relying on the disclosure of TMTG's digital token initiative.
- Trump Media's “non-transferable” Fact Social Token doesn’t but qualify as a coin, however it alerts deeper integration of blockchain into Trump's company stack.
- Estimates based mostly on Reuters put the Trump household's crypto revenue at $802 million within the first half of 2025, which has come underneath elevated scrutiny amid allegations of “crypto corruption” linked to World Liberty Monetary and the UAE.
Donald Trump's trajectory is inching nearer to the issuance of a brand new crypto token, and prediction markets are already inserting odds on it.
Polymarket odds and “Digital Token Initiative”
In accordance with Benzinga's syndication on Yahoo Finance, Polymarket merchants imagine there’s a 27% probability that Donald Trump will situation a brand new cryptocurrency by the tip of the yr. The hypothesis intensified after Trump Media & Know-how Group (TMTG) confirmed the report date for the Digital Token Initiative in an official press launch, stating that “DJT shareholders as of that date can be eligible to obtain digital tokens related to the Fact Social platform.”
The corporate explains that its present tokens are “non-transferable” and can’t be exchanged for money, which means this construction “doesn’t but meet Polymarket's tradable coin standards.” Nonetheless, the transfer reveals that TMTG is “integrating blockchain expertise into its company construction,” marking a transparent shift away from its earlier single-track concentrate on social media.
$802 million in crypto revenue and allegations of “crypto corruption”
In accordance with a Reuters evaluation cited within the article, the Trump household “amassed greater than $802 million in crypto belongings within the first half of 2025 alone” and that crypto belongings now account for “greater than 90% of the household's declared revenue.” In contrast, conventional companies equivalent to golf programs introduced in about $33 million, and actual property licenses generated about $23 million.
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That quantity contains earlier Trump NFT drops and the official Trump (TRUMP) and MELANIA meme cash that “regardless of subsequent volatility and controversy have generated tens of millions of wealth for the Trump household.” At a latest White Home press convention, President Trump sought to distance himself from the alleged $500 million funding in World Liberty Monetary from the United Arab Emirates, saying he had “no data” of the transaction and that his sons had been “coping with it.” Sen. Elizabeth Warren labeled the scenario “cryptocurrency corruption” and warned of a battle of curiosity between President Trump's political position and his household's digital asset enterprise.
Market context: dangers stay
This parabolic transfer comes as digital belongings proceed to commerce because the purest expression of macro danger urge for food. Bitcoin (BTC) is buying and selling at round $71,208.7, with a 24-hour excessive of round $72,268.8 and low of round $69,082.4, with buying and selling quantity of about $42.2 billion. Ethereum (ETH) rose to round $2,091.8 after a modest achieve of 0.43% over the previous 24 hours. Solana (SOL) is buying and selling at round $84.54 and has a 24-hour excessive of round $89.08 and low of round $83.87, with gross sales of round $3.5 billion.
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