On-chain tracker LooknChain stated three wallets made $24.25 million in income from World Cup betting on Polymarket, elevating new questions on massive merchants within the cryptocurrency prediction market.
The tracker defined that the exercise was associated to “suspected insiders,” however the claims are nonetheless based mostly on pockets hyperlinks and public transaction knowledge. Polymarket and Binance had not publicly confirmed this discovering on the time of the investigation.
Lookonchain factors out that it has received three polymarket wallets
In accordance with Lookonchain, wallets named mintblade, GRIMDRIP, and endlessFate have collectively earned greater than $24 million from the World Cup market. Mint Blade reportedly received 5 out of 5 bets and earned $9.24 million.
Suspected insider made $24.25 million betting on #WorldCup:
• mintblade: $9.24 million revenue, 5 wins out of 5 bets.
• GRIMDRIP: $7.6 million in revenue, 2 out of two bets received.
• Infinite Destiny: $7.41 million revenue, 6 wins out of 9 bets.All three wallets despatched their income to Binance through the identical… pic.twitter.com/VgAaqmWZto
— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) June 21, 2026
GRIMDRIP reportedly received 2 out of two bets and earned $7.6 million, whereas endlessFate received 6 out of 9 bets and earned $7.41 million. In accordance with Lookonchain, all three wallets then transferred funds to Binance by way of the identical deposit deal with 0xB08B…317D.
The tracker stated frequent deposit channels counsel the wallets could also be managed by the identical individual. He additionally stated that the pockets stopped buying and selling and that he withdrew all remaining funds after making a revenue.
Excessive stakes on the World Cup drew consideration
Lookonchain had already flagged a number of high-stakes World Cup bets earlier than its newest put up. On June 17, a dealer introduced he had made $9.24 million in at some point after profitable 4 bets, together with a big place that Iran wouldn’t beat New Zealand.
What an incredible #WorldCup bettor!
He made $9.24 million in at some point and received all 4 bets for a 100% win charge.
On the Iran vs. New Zealand match, he spent $7.03 million betting that Iran wouldn’t win.
He was proper – and made $7.34 million on that guess alone! https://t.co/4hPgrIgYui pic.twitter.com/cpdU6II4zb
— Lookonchain (@lookonchain) June 17, 2026
The account additionally tracked Infinite Destiny spending $7.46 million on Colombia to defeat Uzbekistan. If the place wins, the bettor will earn $2.71 million, but when the place loses, your entire stake is gone.
Different posts indicated bigger positions throughout the World Cup market. A pockets named Weatherman12 deposited $1.81 million in Argentina, which didn’t win, and Algeria, which coated the unfold. One other pockets, LEEEROYJENKINS, is alleged to have made $5.2 million from a variety guess on Turkiye and Australia that didn’t win in opposition to Australia.
Prediction markets face elevated scrutiny
The incident comes as prediction markets are gaining consideration from regulators, sports activities followers, and crypto merchants. As beforehand reported by crypto.information, Congress is transferring to ban members of Congress from buying and selling on prediction markets reminiscent of Polymarket and Kalshi as a result of threat of insider buying and selling.
crypto.information additionally reported in February that uncommon Polymarket playing associated to the ZachXBT insider buying and selling investigation raised questions on whether or not some merchants had entry to higher info. The report notes that enforcement of personal info stays tough when exterior customers transact by way of pseudonymous wallets.
Polymarket depends on open markets the place customers commerce consequence contracts tied to real-world occasions. Proponents argue that such markets can mirror quickly altering public expectations, whereas critics argue that they will reward personal info when outcomes depend upon details identified solely to some.
World Cup Betting Expands Throughout Cryptocurrencies
The World Cup is an enormous take a look at for the 2026 sports activities prediction market. crypto.information beforehand reported that Myriad has launched a $100,000 World Cup contest within the 75+ match market, whereas Polymarket and Carsi have already listed dwell World Cup markets.
LBank additionally promoted World Cup prediction occasions associated to Spain and Saudi Arabia, exhibiting that exchanges and buying and selling platforms are utilizing soccer to draw customers. Whereas these campaigns increase the profile of the sports activities market, in addition they convey commerce oversight and honest entry underneath shut overview.
Spain remained silent within the opening match.
Each contact from Yamal feels greater now 🇪🇸
Will the match bounce again or will Saudi Arabia shock Group H? 🇸🇦
Select your group earlier than kickoff 👇 https://t.co/9oaFvEeVnM #WorldCup #LBankPredict pic.twitter.com/nbcB84c9iD
— LBank.com (@LBank_Exchange) June 21, 2026
Up to now, Lookonchain's findings don’t show any wrongdoing. They present how monitoring wallets can reveal buying and selling patterns, shared cash-out routes, and unusually excessive win charges in public crypto markets.

